• Isolated Talking Kazakh Elephants Or the Controlling Hand of Registan

    Stamp_of_Kazakhstan_605
    Kazakh postage stamp of Batyr, the talking elephant in Kazakhstan.

    Michael Hancock-Parmer strikes again.  When we last heard from him, he was trashing the Russian journalist who covered the Zhanaozen massacre critically in an appalling post that earned a reprimand from his former professor, who was then "disciplined" by Registan dominatrix Sarah Kendzior into apologizing and admitting she had a lot to learn about becoming a better human being (!). Some people withdraw from conflicts with Registan because the price is very high — in academia, there is great fear of losing scarce positions, and the Registanis are horribly vindictive and will complain to people's bosses if they don't like their criticism.

    I got into a side convio with H-P in email which he begged me not to publish, so I won't, but needless to say, he proved himself to be an ass.

    Now this contribution from Hancock-Parmer, urging the Kazakh people not to Latinize their alphabet but to use…Arabic script.

    I'm giving this the "Batyr" award, for the poor "talking elephant" that "died from an overdose of soporifics" (like reading too much Registan!). Everyone convinced themselves that the elephant could really talk because he mastered a few memes and gestures on cue and was rewarded. It was convincing!

    Born on July 23, 1969 at Almaty Zoo, Batyr lived his entire life in the Karaganda Zoo in Karaganda, of ex-USSR Kazakhstan. He died in 1993 having never seen or heard another elephant. Batyr was the offspring of once-wild Indian elephants (a subspecies of the Asian elephant). Batyr's mother "Palm" and father "Dubas"[3] had been presented to Kazakhstan's Almaty Zoo by the then Indian prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru.

    Telling people in another country what kind of script they should use in their language — that's bad enough, and ranks right up there with Katy Pearce screaming at people on Twitter to use a certain hashtag, and if they don't use it the way she likes — even allowing for the fact that they may be regime tools — she tells them to "get off the Internet".

    But telling them not to use Latin and instead, to use Arabic, for pseudo-scholarly reasons has got to be even worse — and it reminds me of the Batyr story because by mimicking humans on demand, Batyr in fact was isolated from other real elephants — and the humans were fooled.

    Batyr, whose name is a Turkic word meaning Dashing Equestrian, Man of Courage or Athlete,
    was first alleged to speak just before New Year's Day in the winter of
    1977 when he was eight years old. Zoo employees were the first to notice
    his "speech", but he soon delighted zoo-goers at large by appearing to
    ask his attendants for water and regularly praising or (infrequently)
    chastising himself.

    Language is a natural and organic thing, and people pretty much speak it as they wish, except for the French who police anglicisms. Chastising people into speaking language a certain way — awful!

    Kazakhstan of course has a long and troubled history with the Russian Empire and then the Soviet Union and has a large Russian-speaking minority. So putting their Kazakh language into Cyrrilic script made a certain amount of sense but it was obviously coerced. What would the Kazakh language be if there had never been a Russia, or a kinder, gentler Russia? Well, there wasn't, so it is what it is…

    But when Kazakhstan got its independence from the Soviet Union — or more importantly, from Russia — it gradually began to de-Russify and began to join the rest of the world and try to modernize. I don't buy the state's own propaganda about this at all, and it's a very rocky road.

    Yet I do follow Kazakhstan sufficiently, including the various independent and state tweeters, to know that if they have to chose something besides Cyrrilic, it will be Latin, not Arabic letters. That's because the language of the Internet, like it or not, is English, and a lot of the computer and Internet terms borrowed in other languages come from English. God knows, for example, why Russians talk about "follovat'" on Twitter instead of "sledit'" which has less characters, but they do because it "feels right" to them as they'll tell you.

    Kazakhstan is a secular Muslim nation where the regime controls religious expression brutally, and gets its hand on the Muslim communities in particular. So that means a turn to the Arabic world might not be for them.

    But more to the point, just because they are Muslim doesn't mean they feel the need to turn toward Arabic. In doing so, they would isolate themselves further from Eurasia, Europe and the Internet lingua franca and I don't see any evidence that they want to do that.

    Young people simply reply naturally that they use Latin because that's what English uses and they want to learn and use English.

    This kind of prudish, controlling prescriptiveness for people's language has just got to go.

    Only a fussy little Registani nerd like Michael Hancock-Parmer could have "concerns" about another nation writing their alphabet as they please (!):

    I’m writing this post to share some concerns about the Latinization program for Kazakhstan announced by President Nazarbaev in connection with other progressive changes to the Republic.

    The Too Long; Didn’t Read analysis of what I’m about to write is
    simple: I am not as excited for Latinization as I used to be. I am not
    forecasting doom or anything like it. Nor am I saying that this is all
    part of some conspiracy or weird power grab on the part of Nazarbaev.
    No. I am rather trying to share some concerns that might interest
    Registan’s readers.

    I have reservations that it will adversely affect Kazakhstan’s citizens
    in their efforts to better understand their past and the formation of
    the their current situation.

    I'm the first to say that Russian is still a lingua-franca more than English is in this region; it's the poor man's lingua-franca because not everyone can get a Soros grant and go to a Western course or conference and perfect their conversational English. There is that large minority as well. If anything, we should be concerned about these people being forced to leave their comfort level to use Latin  — but then, they're being asked to do that for the Kazakh language, not the Russian language.

    What this terrible affectation about Kazakhs needing to "better understand their past" isn't really about "richness of literature" in the Soviet era (?!) but about the fetishization of Islam that is common among the New Realists in Washington and New York in general and the Registanis in particular. There's an entire mindset and contrived narrative they have acquired which goes like this:

    o There is this "they" out there who exaggerate the threat of Islam and hate Muslims — be they neo-cons or traditional conservatives or Blue Dog Democrats or whatever — and "we" have to counter them;

    o We are the smart people surrounded by idiots, so we will embrace the vibrancy and diversity of Islam and show "them" up to be bigots and haters

    o In fact, if we don't stop this criticism of Islamic countries (which we believe to be hatred) then we are actually harming our nation's security because the US will "bomb Iran" and we will be in WWIII;

    o The enemy of our enemy is our friend — conservatives and parts of the Obama Administration we don't like are too distrustful of theocratic states, so we'll be nice to them to show how cool we are.

    I find this all very unscholarly, and I find that when there is this mindset, you can't get new facts and impressions to go through — it's like trying to get the miniature golf ball through the rotating blades of the windmill — very hard.

    Sure, Latinization is contrived, like the very capital of Astana itself and lots of Nazarbayev state-building projects. Yet if people don't want to use it and want to stick with Cyrrilic, they will, and it will be hard to stop them.

    There's another project lurking under Michael Hannover-Parmer's tender ministrations here — it's sort of like pan-Turkism. He wants to prove how close the Central Asian peoples are to each other:

    In essence, “Arabic-script Kazakh” is nearly a contradiction in terms.
    When written in Arabic script, Kazakh, Tatar, Bashkir, and Karakalpak
    appear much more identical then then do in the current Cyrillic
    alphabets. Moreover, their close relationship with Uzbek, Uyghur,
    Kyrgyz, Turkmen, and Ottoman-Turkish was far more apparent. Though much
    ink has been spilled attacking the awkwardness of Arabic at correctly
    carrying Turkic language, the longevity of the alphabet must be
    re-considered rather than seen as a sign of backwardness or Oriental
    decadence. Rather, the very limitations of the Arabic script (i.e.
    writing of the various Turkic vowels) might be considered as its
    strength.

    H-P tries to justify his own diktat in deciding what is "best" for a people and trying to back it up with tld;r "scholarship" by pointing out that Stalin was the one to manipulate languages and alphabets and narratives. Yes, we get all that. Yes, they are contrived. Yes, people will work their way out of it. But hardly with Arabic script. And…who says "integrationist processes" are really naturally occuring? They don't naturally occur in the EU, either…

    H-P also has a touching concern for the "treasury of work written during the Soviet Union". Well, sure. No people should burn their books, even from discredited communist pasts. But, well, if there isn't a demand for them, there isn't. We don't all demand that even the classics be transcripted into the English of Beowulf or Shakespeare. Language is a dynamic and living thing, even if tyrants monkey with it.

    Fortunately, nobody anywhere is likely to pay the slightest attention to this fussy fellow — read the reply in the comments from a young man who simply points out that QWERTY is what is there to use, and that's what he is using. Oh, and there's this:

    Uzbekistan moved from Arabic alphabet to Latin in 1920′s because
    Uzbekistan because a secular country and wanted to break with Islam.
    That move made most of the religious literature instantly inaccessible
    that helped to establish a secular society.

    Whatever you want to say about Sovietization — and I'm happy to criticize it all day long — there's something to be said for secularism even of the Vladimir Posner/Soviet sort as compared to radical Islam. People shouldn't be cut off from their national religious literature, but there's no need to artificially crowbar it back into place, either.

    But as I said, the fetishizing of Islam that this crowd indulges in brings them to this sort of untenable position.

    I'd like Kazakhstan — if it is getting all national and independent — to a) come to a true independence which would mean independence of Nazarbayevism and even batyrism; and b) be tolerant of Russians and Russian-speakers in its own land even if it wants to distance itself from Moscow, generally a good thing. I think this process of Latinization might take so long that it is unlikely to harm the Russian population, but it bears watching.

     

  • State Department Handout for EurasiaNet Assures Us It’s All Good (Bad) in Uzbekistan

    Oh! That was quick. (And with a word-count of 921!)

    Elephants on the move, Pakistan begrudgingly says it will open the gate to NATO again if paid more — and the State Department — and Joshua Kucera — can say it's OK to criticize Uzbekistan's awful human rights situation again.

    Whew! See how important elephants are!

    Just a month ago, Kucera was telling us in the New York Times that a) human rights in Uzbekistan had "technically improved" and b) the Administration should remain silent about human rights or appear hypocritical — because it was futile, anyway.

    Then we were told all sorts of nonsense by the Registanis about "impossible moral choices" which are really a function of Foust's immorality in unjustifiably slamming human rights activists who criticized the regime and made the West feel ownership for their double standards.

    Why did Kucera feel the need to say human rights had technically improved, just like the State Department had done inauthentically and incorrectly in November, when he himself had even scored them for punting earlier?

    There weren't any "technicals" — letting a broken prisoner go isn't progress and doesn't get counted on the scoreboard. Progress Score: "One shattered presidential nephew tormented in an insane asylum released to poverty and joblessness vs. 5,000 devout Muslims still being tortured and dozens of human rights monitors who tried to complain about their torture still in prison." That's not a score, that's sick.

    Kucera mumbled in the Registani comments that perhaps he hadn't made his point clear enough about  how "it's still terrible" and maybe the New York Times editors were to blame for dropping a paragraph — which explains curiously how a line ends up saying "technical improvements" instead of "terrible".

    Mkay, so…say it one way — "technically improved" — on the Times op-ed page which gets bazillion views and gets reprinted all over the world, but privately tell your friends on Spars & Swipes (Registan)  — Alexa traffic in the 1.7 million toilet — that you didn't really mean that, you think it's terrible. Oh, and have a thumb-sucking conversation about just how hard it all is, due to those elephants…

    So WHOOPS now we can talk again and the State Department can…or rather, the State Department has released a paper in English, to a blogger on a site with 200,000 monthly uniques, and not put it on whitehouse.gov or statehouse.gov or america.gov or humanrights.gov or the US Embassy site so that it really means something,  and not say it out loud to Uzbek officials, to their faces. We are so easily placated… Does Human Rights Watch buy this, too?

    So question: why is this State Department assessment only on the pages of eurasianet.org and not anywhere else? (I realize it can take time for staff to cut and paste into another website).

    But a more important question: why is there an implication in this piece that there is "a provision by which the U.S. could again start providing military aid to Uzbekistan, if the Secretary of State certifies that there is a national security reason for doing so" — and that this new "bad" assessment might mean that military aid won't be given?

    I'm not getting this. There was a waiver precisely to enable that military aid. It's not much, we all get that it's symbolic, but the waiver was all about lifting military sanctions despite lack of human rights progress yet still implying there is an assessment that might change that once a year (and review of corruption issues).

    If things worked right — you know, the way they used to in 2004 — *if* there was a finding that human rights are bad, *then* the waiver couldn't be made because it was just so bad and there was a danger that military aid would help repression, not because of literal gifted billy clubs hitting literal heads but because overall, it propped up the regime. So…No certification, no waiver.

    But now we're entering a hall of mirrors, where, as Kucera says, "Anyway, the takeaway here appears to be that the U.S. can provide military aid to Uzbekistan without saying silly things about human rights there."

    Wait…The takeaway with a bad assessment should be that no military aid flows. But using a waiver, you don't have to pretend that it's improving anymore by dishonestly citing only Jamshid limping home, you can say it's God-awful torture, and still hand out the equipment (oh and have somebody Fisk it on Registan to explain it isn't really equipment going to any torturers).

    So is the moral of this sordid story that the solution to the fake "Impossible Moral Dilemma" concocted by Foust is that instead of contorting itself into a pretzel and pretending there are "technical improvements" (bleh) the US gets to be frank — oh, except only in a handout to EurasiaNet and its groupies? Well, gosh, that's progress.  That sure salves your conscience!

    Naturally, the indefatiguable post-partisan pundit seizes the moment not only to slam human rights groups again– he  pouts at us:

    Despite the hoopla about how the U.S. will participate in Uzbek repression, the text of the law governing the arrangement indicates that that just won’t be the case. So can we start talking about the strategic and regional choices they have, and how they can work toward having better options, instead of bickering about something that just isn’t there

    Um, actually, there wasn't any "hoopla" about the largely symbolic $100,000 gift for…bullet-proof vests or desk-sets or something non-lethal — not something "all about" repressing dissenters. We get all that. This isn't about tekkie literalism; it's about optics.

    Of course, the pseudonymous lurkers at Regi claimed that human rights activists are stupid for thinking aid to the military is like aid to the police, or that training the police isn't like training the evil NSB. Of course, police torture, too, and riot troops and all of the police in the MVD are part of a militarized vertically-commanded system that is way different than the police and army in democratic societies in structure and therefore more prone to systemic abuse. And we get it that if somebody has a bullet-proof vest the better to resist those, um, terrorists under bridges near the border in Tajikistan, that's a good thing. Yet it is all of a piece because it's not a military with civilian oversight and an independent judiciary and a free press. Even with all those things, God knows, you can sure abuse human rights with your army.

    But again: the reason the Uzbeks put such emphasis on it; the reason Obama and Clinton and all the generals put such emphasis on this measly aid is that they want to win the moral victory. They want to prevail over the human rights crowd and tell them they've been heard, but not heeded but that it's all going to turn out right and nobody will have to lie. Yet, for the Uzbeks, even a desk set for the military arm of the regime is what helps validate and seal its repressive might. These are moral issues.

    Uzbek response: "We wipe our asses with such papers, and we are raising the tariffs because the Pakistanis did, see you on our blazing trains to Mazar-e-Sharif."

    But that's not where it ends. It can and does get worse.

    Now Kucera leaks to us from a State Department official that there's a new theory about Andijan, which of course we do all remember — so efforts of interpolation and ahistoricism, especially with WikiLeaks, can't really fly. This new theory says that the Uzbeks expelled the US from the K2 bases not because we criticized Andijan (although this was a debated decision as we know from Cheney's and Rice's memoirs), but because Karimov feared colour revolutions and thought the US would sponsor them.

    Oh, and there's this gem, for those who want to make sure that all talk of Arab Springs are scrubbed from the discourse, thank you very much, as being naive and even racist (and now with more eyeballs for that notion)

    So now that the threat (or promise, depending on your perspective) of color revolutions has passed, Karimov is likely using a different calculation for how much human rights criticism he's willing to take.

    Passed? Really, Joshua?

    While that could well be a reason motivating Karimov –  a dissidents' book club or a prayer meeting with 6 people in a living room could make him skittish — it was only one of the reasons for the expulsion of the US. After all, the US hadn't funded or encouraged any colour revolution in Uzbekistan up to that point (because there wasn't any burgeoning social movement, among other reasons).

    Colour revolutions are held in such scorn now — especially by Soros foundations, especially because they feel like they failed in them and then got burned — that it's hard to recall the grander enthusiasm there was in those days. Yet even Wikipedia recalls that the Tulip Revolution — the only one that Karimov could really care about — in 2005 two months before Andijan was violent and fragmented.

    Was it fear of Islamic unrest or colour revolutions or both that made Karimov sanction the shooting of hundreds of people, and then kick out the US? As Kucera himself points out, he on his blog, and HRW, and many others, and even Rumsfeld, didn't make the K2 calculus revolve around any colour revos — so the invocation of this concept now seems to have an agenda coming from State: a) no more colour revolutions — Uzbekistan, the US, and Soros don't like them b) the Arab Spring has no impact whatsoever — and let's make sure it doesn't.

    Oh, so, the bases can go back in. Watch that space.

     

     

  • Elephant Protest Pries Open Military Route

    Elephant enclosed
    Photo of zoo in Pakistan by Scott Christian

    Protests in Sri Lanka about the increasing threat of attack by elephants have unleashed a wave of unrelated phenomena across the continent, culminating in a new opening for American military deliveries, regional news services say.

    Farmers in Sri Lanka — like Afghanistan, in Asia — rallied against over-development  which was encroaching on breeding and foraging lands and angering the large animals, UCA reports.

    Forty-six people have been killed in the past few months, according to data compiled by the Wildlife Department, and 97 elephants have been shot and killed.

    “The government should find ways … to solve this man-elephant conflict, particularly during the dry season, when elephants rampage through villages in search of water and food,” said Ranjith Jayakody, secretary of the Irudeniyaya Farmers’ Organization in Kurunegala.

    Meanwhile, four elephant calves — aged 4-7 years and housed at the Karachi Zoological Gardens and Safari Park — have not been provided with proper enclosures since their arrival in the city more than two years ago, Pakistan's The Dawn reported.

    Yet the lack of proper barriers has actually provided an opening for NATO, defense officials who requested anonymity told DS.

    Pakistan expects to re-open supply routes to NATO forces in Afghanistan, halted after a NATO cross-border air attack killed 24 Pakistani soldiers in November, but will impose tariffs, a senior security official told Reuters on Thursday.

    The official said there was still some way to go "before normalcy was possible," said Reuters.

    The staff at the elephant house told Dawn that the elephants were not united because they could hurt each other.

    Experts regard the provision of comfortable temperatures, places to relax outdoors, opportunities for long walks, abundance of different types of exercises, mud wallowing and swimming areas and pasture as critical facets for elephant enclosures. They say such facilities should be available to elephants round the year.

    Colombo is separated from Islamabad by 2,598 of earth, maps.google.com reported.

  • Elephants in the Room

    Basketball

     

    And before bullies could use @ signs on Twitter and moderated blogs as a weapon, they could have their gym shorts pulled down.

  • Elephant Misstep Slows NDN Delivery

    Shannon
    Elephant migratory patterns have increased introduced instability into military planning.

    An elephant that stepped on to a landmine on the border between Burma and Thailand has sent shockwaves through the region, jeopardizing military plans to wind down America's decade-long war in Afghanistan, experts say.

    Thai veterinarians say a 22-year-old elephant was wounded when he wandered into neighbouring Burma and stepped on a landmine, the Telegraph reported. Local officials tried to suppress news of the tragedy to prevent further consequences, but Western correspondents disclosed the incident Friday.

    "Regretably, the elephant foot injury shows all too well how fragile the overland routes in the region are," Claude Shannon, senior fellow at the Institute for Institutions told DS.

    Shannon fears the impact of the elephant misstep could send perturbations across the continent.

    Local villagers said the elephant tried to limp into the bush, and might have died, but quick-witted vets caught up with the beast and bandaged his wounds.

    A. Hacker, an analyst for Whatfor, said the Bradbury "butterfly effect" continued to plague regional routes. "Burma is adjacent to India, and once you have India in the picture, naturally you have Afghanistan and Pakistan coming right after."

    The elephant is now resting comfortably after months of treatment, changthai.com reported. But surgeons are concerned about the long-term implication on the elephant's gait — and military delivery routes — still to come.

    "We're out of the woods, but we're not back in the bush yet," a physician who requested anonymity told DS.

     Rights groups blamed both rebels and the military for multiple elephant injuries in recent years.

  • This Might Affect the NDN

    394px-Elephant_Walk_1954

    Elephant stampede in Nepal — a New Year's tragedy.

    Human-elephant conflicts are often more frequent than we knew.

    Where is Nepal? Nepal is between India and China.

    You know what else is nearby? Afghanistan and Pakistan.

    A Google investigation reveals that in 1956, the Iranian prince was injured in an elephant stampede in Pakistan:

    Word reached Karachi Wednesday that a wild elephant stampede had injured the shah of Iran's brother and killed a deputy district commissioner in the thick jungles of East Pakistan's Chittagong hill tracts.

    That's how wars start, you know.