• WikiLeaks Propaganda Stunt “Mediastan” Smears, Endangers Local Central Asian Journalists

    Pressure
    WikiLeaks barged into offices all over Central Asia, pressuring independent journalists like these reporters at the highly-respected Asia Plus to instantly sign agreements on WikiLeaks' terms to publish US cables about their country. Here Marat Mamadshoev and a colleague are being told to sign the agreement immediately, but decline.
     

    I'm sickened by Mediastan, the latest propaganda piece by anarchist impresario Julian Assange.

    This is my quick take upon first view of this video (so sorry if there are mistakes or names missing, they will be fixed). It's available for rent ($2.99) or pay $7.00 plus on Vimeo. Naturally, I'm unhappy that I had to give a dime to WL, which I oppose on principle — and I have to wonder how it is that Paypal could agree to accept these payments when it has blocked payments directly from WikiLeaks (and I plan to raise this issue with both Vimeo and PayPal).

    This piece of vile stuff is supposed to be Assange's attempt to provide an "antidote" to a movie about him coming out in theaters October 18 which he doesn't like called The Fifth Estate (it's too critical) which he trying to kill off in various ways.

    Perhaps he's counting on the fact that most people don't know anything about Central Asia, and will merely be impressed that he and his merry band of hacksters caroming around the perilous but picturesque mountain roads of Central Asia — complete with Soviet-style policeman stopping and searching traffic, tunnels under repair until who knows when, and lots of sheep blocking the road — are the coolest of cypherphunk hipsters going on a " journalism" trip through dangerous territory.

    Except it's not at all that. What this journey consists of is a bunch of people from the region whose first names only are given within the film (but see the credits below), and the discredited journalist Johannes Wahlstrom, son of the notorious antisemite and provocateur Israel Shamir. Discredited — because of the tendentious way he has covered Israel-Palestine issues, and disgraced because he is accused of falsifying quotes and of antisemitism.)

    So an unintended bonus is that with Wahlstrom narrating most of the film — when the Great One Himself isn't butting in and pontificating — is that WikiLeaks cannot claim anymore that Shamir and Son don't have anything to do with them and don't represent them. They most surely do, as this film proves.

    Johannes is a Russian speaker because he likely grew up in Russia or at least speaking Russian with his father — who has played a sordid role in the Snowden affair, too, about which you can read on my other blog, Minding Russia. But he and the other handlers or minders or whoever the hell they are really have no sense of this region, whatever their Russian language ability, and burst in aggressively — and disgustingly — to try to strong-arm local news media in dire straits in Central Asia, where there is a huge list of murdered, jailed, disappeared and beaten journalists, into publishing WikiLeaks cables.

    Another bonus is that one of the Russian-speaking journalists on the tour admits openly that he fabricated stories at his job (supposedly because he felt himself to be pressured to do so by  his bosses and their need to sell newspapers) and then was ultimately fired. This is just about the level of journalistic quality we can expect throughout this film.

    (The reason I mixed up Wahlstrom and this Russian in an earlier version of this blog, since corrected is because both are accused of fabrications; the Russian admits it in the film, Wahlstrom denies it. And while some WikiLeaks operative @Troushers is accusing me of "lying" here in my summary of the dialogue of this Russian journalist, I stand by it — indeed he openly admits he fabricated letters and indeed the implication is that he was pressured by his boss, who needed to sell papers even if he didn't say literally that phrase — Internet kids are so literalist. The  obvious reality is, the theme throughout the entire film is that editors and journalists in mainstream media only do things to sell newspapers — i.e. the obvious point of the snarky portrayal of Bill Keller and Sulzberger talking about traffic for a column of Bill's "half supportive" of Obama. Here's the script verbatim from Dmitry Velikovsky, from Russkiy Reporter, who has been active in covering Manning's trial in the past. Russkiy Reporter also sponsored the showing of the film in Moscow.

    Velikovsky: I began with some funny study. I was obliged to edit the column "letters of readers". But the problem was that there were absolutely no letters to edit. But the column should be published twice a day. And so I was obliged to to invent those letters me myself. And I just invented a lot of them.

    Wahlstrom: did you get some, any letters at all from real readers?

    Velikovsky: Yes we got some maybe three, four or five in two months but they were all containing some critics.

    Wahlstrom: but these letters you didn't publish.

    Velikovsky: I wanted to publish those letters in the factual content of the newspaper because I found it rather important to have some kind of self criticism. But our marketing department had no self criticism and they forbid me to publish it. So i invented letters about problems of veterans, problems of pensioners, problems of no matter whom. So that's how I became a journalist.

    Cue tinkly music…

    Astoundingly, this aggressive, beligerent crew have no sense of themselves in this film, so imbued are they with their self-righteousness, even as they beam in Julian Assange on Skype who instructs the locals how they are to treat this material.

    It's very clear WikiLeaks has absolutely no interest in the substance of the local stories, they just want to collect partners — or conversely, shame those potential partners who refuse to deal with them for various reasons by making them look like they are boot-licking lackeys of the United States.

    They tape phone conversations with people that are rather sensitive — like a journalist in danger discussing whether he should publish a story about somebody who wants to run a coup in Tajikistan (!) — and we have no idea if the people involved were informed that these calls would be taped — and included in the film.

    The single most damaging aspect I've seen in this agitprop trash is that the utterly unsupported claim is made that the local press are paid by the US Embassy to print flattering things about the US in order to get the leaders and publics of these countries to bend over while the US uses them as a launching pad and staging area for their war in Afghanistan.

    The WikiLeaks people are too ignorant and blinded by their anti-American ideology to understand that a) the US has no need for this because these countries have cooperated anyway b) these tyrants have their own interests in playing off the US against Russia and China c) it doesn't matter as the US is  pulling out of Afghanistan next year anyway.

    Now, I write as someone who for six years worked at EurasiaNet and Open Society Foundation and wrote critically about the US role in Central Asia, particularly about the severe human rights and humanitarian issues — about which the US government was oftne silent — and the issues around the Northern Distribution Network, the supply path to Afghanistan from Russia which enabled the US to bring non-lethal cargo to NATO troops.

    I probably wrote more than anybody on the WikiLeaks cables in Turkmenistan, strategically located between Iran and Afghanistan and other Central Asian countries with heavy US involvement, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan. You can search for all these articles and those of my colleagues here eurasianet.org

    I also worked in the past as a free-lancer for RFE/RL ("(Un)Civil Society" and "Media Matters") and never experienced any censorship — I wrote and published directly to the site. I recall only instances when care was taken in covering mass demonstrations once in Ukraine to make sure that the article didn't incite people — as RFE/RL has a history of being charged with causing uprisings, i.e. in the Hungarian revolution and invasion by Soviet troops. RFE/RL is funded by Congress, but it doesn't have overlords hanging over you as you write — there is far more independent coverage there than anything you'd see at RT.com, the Kremlin-sponsored propaganda outlet or Al Jazeera.

    I have no relationship whatsoever to the US government, so I am certainly qualified to say that this film is an unfair hatchet job on people in harm's way — oh, so typical of WikiLeaks.

    The film opens with the WikiLeaks crew rolling through the mountains with Mehrabanb Fazrollah of Pyandj, Tajikistan, born 18 October 1962, in the back seat of the car telling his story. He was held five years in Guantanamo about which you can read some here.

    Through a series of astoundingly leading questions, broad innuendos or outright promptings, the WL gang incites Fazrollah into saying he really knew nothing of any military significance, and his jailing was all for nothing, and boy is he mad. I don't know anything of his case except what I've read in the papers, but the duplicitious smiles and repeating of what foreigners want to hear are very old stories to me from having traveled in this region (I haven't ever been in Tajikistan but I've spent years travelling to Russia and other countries and interviewing Tajiks outside of Tajikistan).

    Assange claims bitterly that this poor fellow spent five years ""to find out about a couple of fucking refugees in Tajikistan".

    Actually, that's not even what the cable said or even what the man in the film says. They said there were 100,000 refugees. This is relevant of course regarding the Northern Alliance and the Tajiks in Afghanistan. The fellow is charged with membership in the Islamic Movement of Tajikistan (IMT) allied with the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, a group on the American list of terrorist organizations.

    Sorry, but this is not nothing, these are real terrorism movements, even if supposedly in decline (like, you know, Al Shabaab was in decline and chased out of their stronghold when they hit Westgate Mall in Kenya?)

    You would never know from Assange's sneers that this is a country that was in a civil war for years, that it had the highest number of journalists murdered — some 50, nearly as many as Algeria, also in a civil war at the time, that these journalists were killed by Islamists because they were secular or visa versa because they were not approved Muslims killed by state security. The war is a complicated one but to pretend that terrorism and war isn't a factor here — right next to Afghanistan — is absurd.

    This is of course the game, too, of the International Relations Realist school in Washington and elsewhere, who minimize terrorism and laugh it away as a fantasy of Pentagon planners. But the reality is that both are true — real terrorist acts have occurred here and there are in fact real Islamists pressuring secular society including press, and there are also fake terrorists that the oppressive government thinks up to keep itself in power. And you know something? I surely do not trust Julian Assange and his crew of losers to tell the difference.

    I will never forget in my life the terrified face of a Tajik journalist  who had been receiving death threats that I helped rescue from Tajikistan in the 1990s — and it was a brave man going the extra mile inside the US Embassy actually that got him and his family out of there.

    In the film, after reading some cables on Gitmo — and as I said, the cases may be innocent, but the WL goons are hardly the judge, and there are real complex problems of terrorism and pressure on secularism in these countries — Assange and Wahlstrom sit and guffaw about a line in a memo they've found about Bildt getting in touch with Karl Rove instead of really trying to understand the complexities of the region They find this such a smoking gun and so "evil" that they roar for minutes, but we don't get the joke.

    The translator asks outrageously leading questions and they all laughed and carried on and made it clear they sympathized with the Tajik taken from the battlefield from Gitmo and don't interview him impartially or critically at all. In the same way the pick up a memo from someone named Michael Owens, and start roaring about the US "empire of the 21st century" — which is of course a rather lack-luster claim these days — some empire of the 21st century which they are just now leaving, eh?

    Then they read from cables — only partially — with a "scene-setter" — talking about how the Tajiks have "unfailingly" allowed their overflights, which is all they really wanted from them. They then purport to read from a cable implying that these "imperialist Americans" in Dushanbe want to "make the local media more pro-American" and will first plant positive stories in the Russian media, then pay the local media to reprint them in the local  press.

    They don't actually cite from any document or give any source, and it isn't in any known cable from the WikiLeaks Cablegate already published that the US Embassy engages in this practice.

    So without anything to bolster this claim, WikiLeaks smears gazeta.ru, Interfax, and Ekho Moskvy, claiming that they've somehow engaged in this practice.

    It really is an outright lie. I have read the Russian-language press in this region for years. They are critical of the US and there aren't these glowing planted pieces they imagine. And the US doesn't need to engage in such a silly, crude practice.

    First of all, CENTCOM, the US military command for the region of Central Asia, has its own official news service, but more to the point, it has its own supported English- and Russian-language Internet news service everyone knows they are behind as they tell you, that it uses to put stories for the local media  to pick up – where they are identified as such and sourced from this page, not hidden under bylines or mastheads from the indigenous media.

    Secondly, none of these papers in the region have very big readerships — they don't have the capacity. We are talking about newspapers with 50,000 or 100,000 or 500,000 possibly at the most, but more at the low end. It's just not a way to reach people. Internet penetration is very low in some of the countries — it's about 60% in Russia but drops down sharply as you go East.

    The US already has Voice of America as an outlet to cover the perspectives of the US, and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty which serves to enhance or enable struggling local media — they have open partnerships with some local stations, and because they are far more independent than the official media of these authoritarian states, they have more credibility. To be sure, RFE/RL are not going to be radically antithetical to the foreign policy of the United States, any more than the BBC or Al Jazeera or RT.com. But unlike Al Jazeera and RT.com, RFE/RL really tries to cover critical local news without fear or favour, and proof of that is just how many journalists have been arrested, jailed or expelled over the decades. The US government doesn't need to crudely pay somebody to hide behind, in other words. But these, too, don't have a huge audience outside the intelligentsia in the big cities.

    The fact is, WikiLeaks has not produced proof of this disreputable claim, because they've cited one cable only partially where it sounds like a proposal that one doesn't know was fulfilled, and in citing another cable, in Kyrgyzstan, it appears that the Kyrgyz foreign minister presents this idea, and that it doesn't come from the Americans.

    To be sure, paid-for press and infomercials and advertorials are rampant in this region in the official and unofficial press. But to claim that these brave independent outlets take payments to portray te US nicely is just an outright smear for which there isn't an iota of proof. It puts these brave people in danger to suggest it.


    (more…)

  • Who Hacked EurasiaNet’s Web Site?

    Hacks

    So the Soros-funded Central Asian news-and-views site Eurasianet.org (where I used to work) is down because it has been hacked.

    Or, as geeks always tell us with withering scorn, not "hacked," but merely subjected to a distributed denial-of-service (DDos) attack, which is sort of like "too much of a good thing" on the Internet with lots of page hits. Of course, hacking *is* defeating the legitimate purpose of any site, so it *is* hacking, and hacking *isn't* a word we should somehow "preserve" for "a better world". There isn't one.

    But why would EurasiaNet.org be hacked now?

    Well, one reason is just opportunistic hacking, zero-day attacks or DDOSes or other exploits just because during the Thanksgiving holiday, less staff are on duty and so on, and that can stretch into the next week, as the staff orders gadgets online on Cyber Monday.

    But it's already Wednesday, and the site has now been down for more than 20 hours, as the first announcement by the staff on Twitter was 20 hours ago as marked by the tweet.

    Study the twitter feed and the staff is saying they are "working on it".

    It's not just "down" with some kind of fail-while icon, but "down" and labelled by "the Internet" as a dangerous site — a site that if you keep clicking through the warnings, you may find will subject you yourself to a malware attack.

    To be sure, sometimes Google is being over-protective and such warnings are false — I've had them put on my mere blog on this commercial site merely because somebody doesn't like the content and then tries to subject me to a takedown by pretending I have "malware".

    And that is likely what has happened with EurasiaNet — so it is fairly sophisticated and opportunistic and may not be related to one single post but an overall desire to disrupt news.

    Indeed, there are lots of people who don't like this site (and I've discovered more of them since I left there) — on the US government side, there are disgruntled State Department flunkies and military advisors posted to these hell-holes who don't like the criticism focused on them when their host government are really the problem; then there are all those Central Asian governments themselves who are nasty as the day as long; then there are various factions fighting those nasty Central Asian governments who are sometimes even nastier themselves, like violent Islamist movements or nationalist dissidents with their creepy agendas for the minorities — and so on. Central Asia is a region where you are much more likely to get a hate email than a "like" on your Facebook page. The hate mail I've personally gotten from either Kyrgyz nationalists or Uzbek Islamist resistance groups are among the worst I've gotten in my life — except, of course, for mail from Serbia and Russia, usually leading the world in hate-mailing.

    The first question I'd always ask about a hack is "is it Russia?" That's because most hacking comes from Russia in the OSCE space; much of it is state-inspired or state-endorsed or state-tolerated, i.e. against Estonians, Georgians, etc.  Russians have the ill-will, the capacity, the legions of programmers with time on their hands, etc.

    But EurasiaNet tilts toward Russia decidedly, as not only Jennifer Rubin has written but others privately note who even still work there. It's party of that whole Soros/"progressive"/Center for American Progress take on Russia which is decidedly pro-Kremlin. Hey, the Socialist Scholars' Conference from 1984 called, they don't want their program back, however, as you already have a copy. But if it's fading on that old thermo-fax paper, they can give you a fresh digital version.

    With a story like this, EurasiaNet only illustrates the endless compassion they have for the Kremlin perspective:

    Russia Objects To NATO Missile Defense In Turkey: Russia has weighed in on ongoing discussions between Turkey and…

    So while I look first to see if there is a story that might have angered Russians, I also check for Uzbeks, who are among the nastiest in the region with a high capacity for harassment as the largest state and most powerful. So is it this?


    Uzbekistan Will Come Back Soon, CSTO Insists:
    Uzbekistan will come crawling back into the arms of Russia as soon as…

    Or that garden perennial about the lack of heat and the gas shortage which you could cut and paste from the last 25 winters?

    With the site down, we can't see the full version even in Google cache, but maybe that and some other negative stories on Uzbekistan means Uzbeks are a candidate.

    Let me tell you what story it's *not*: 

    On the Trail of Turkey's "KIng of Nuts": The pistachio may be the nut most people associate with Turkey, but in the…

    Another candidate for disgruntled-reader-of-the-week might be:

    Georgia's Arrests: Who’s Next?: If they were to bet on which high-ranking Georgian official goes to prison next…

    or

    Georgia: Will Ex-Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili Assist the Prosecution of "Bigger Fish"?: Georgian President….

    But…There's no question that the new Georgian leader has the backing of the Kremlin, and it's not clear yet just how far that backing will go. But here, again, Russia and the new Georgian leadership are not likely hacking commissioners here — EurasiaNet is harsh on Saakashvili and soft on the Kremlin-backed leader Ivanashvili, calling anyone in Congress slightly critical of Saakashvili as "Russophobes" although never dubbing themselves "Russophiles".

    I don't think it's going to be anything related to Kazakhstan — except for the critical reporting from Joanna Lillis, more often than not, we get these kind of stories that are either human-interest fluff or  "laugh-at-the-dictator" stories that wind up distracting from ongoing torture:


    Kazakhstan Photo: Black and White: Kids play chess
    with pieces several feet tall at the First President's Park in…

    It's not going to be the Tajiks, because the story of their blocking of Facebook is widely reported by sites with far more traffic than EurasiaNet.

    This might be a candidate for an axe-grinder:

    Kyrgyzstan: Local Voting Unsettles National Politics:   Kyrgyzstan, the closest thing Central Asia has to a working…

    Well, take a look yourself at the feed for the last two weeks and see if you can guess which story led to the hack. Most likely there isn't a story as such, but merely an opportunity. Oh, and gosh, it could never be Drupal, could it?! Dare we imagine that lovely "free" open-source software with endless part-time consultants to keep it functioning could be a greater threat than a nasty Central Asian regime?

     

  • EurasiaNet’s Tilt Toward the Kremlin and the Misleading Theory of Diminishing Russian Power

    CSTO exercises
    President Dmitry Medvedev reviews CSTO exercises. Photo by Presidential Press and Information Service, Sept. 27, 2011. Russia is looking ahead to a greater role in Central Asia after the withdrawal of US troops.

    It's long been my sense that EurasiaNet tilts too far towards the Kremlin in its coverage of Russia.

    This tilt is a problem in Soros programs in general all across the board, and is a function of the felt need to push the "progressive" agenda without debate, which I've criticized. But EurasiaNet, as the top Soros-funded news service, has a particular case of this bias and I think it needs open debate — something it never gets in the pages of EurasiaNet itself, where real criticism of Russia as a threat is almost never heard. (In fact, when I once put in a quote from a Western diplomat regarding the increased Russian threat in a story published on EurasiaNet about diplomatic rapid response, it was removed.)

    Washington Post neo-conservative blogger Jennifer Rubin once did a column on this problem of pro-Russian bias at EurasiaNet, specifically in a blog by Joshua Kucera, which evoked a lot of indignation from EurasiaNet fanboyz. They felt it self-discredited because she was one of the identifiable ideological foes of the Soros-funded crowd. Unfortunately, she didn't really pursue the theme by examining other stories, even though she did do a second column on the tendentious rendering of a quote from Condoleeza Rice.

    At one point she exclaimed, "Eurasianet? What is that?" which about summed up how much influence it had in her foreign and domestic policy circles — it's main fan base is among the Foreign Policy and Atlantic editors and Central Asian scholars and think tank senior fellows — it's a beat decidedly overshadowed by the Middle East and North Africa and the Arab Spring now.

    In the comments to Rubin's piece, Ariel Cohen said that yes, many of the commentators (well, really almost all, Ariel!) are "leftist and progressive". I was the only "liberal, not progressive" writer for years until February 2012 when I left.  As proof of the alleged pluralism of EurasiaNet, he cites the fact that he himself published on it. To be sure, he has had dozens of pieces on EurasiaNet, but it is in past years; it hasn't been so much in recent years.

    One article seems to have been removed by some glitch. It looks like it was one of those articles that in fact cast Russia as a diminishing power — and that may have been how it "fit" and was welcome. EurasiaNet has grown decidedly more pro-Russian in the last two years, mainly in Kucera's blog The Bug Pit; he likes to brag that he has been recruited by both the CIA and FSB (and let us know that he finds the concept of the US eavesdropping on a journalist worse than a Russian spy trying to buy a journalist) and styles himself as independent, but he nearly always snarks about Georgia and sticks up for Russia and minimizes its dangers — which is the litmus test for this position.

    An article by Molly Corso is generally just covering the various news accounts and perspectives on the Russian-Georgian conflict, but does include some bashing of Georgia, quoting from the Russian press. Then she quotes Ariel Cohen, and in fact he does what EurasiaNet usually needs to have done on Georgia — call it to an account as if it is a miscreant:

    Ariel Cohen, a senior research fellow at the Washington, DC-based Heritage Foundation, agreed with Tbilisi that Russia is using “the full tool box of state power against Georgia.” But Russia’s alleged actions do not relieve Georgian leaders of an obligation to meet high standards of proof in cases involving espionage or terrorism, Cohen added.

    'PUTIN WILL NO LONGER BE IN POWER'

    Back in 2002, Cohen set the tone himself for the "dwindling power" approach to covering Russia in Central Asia. It was Russia's failure to reform (and not, say, overriding American intererest following 9/11 and the invasion of Afghanistan!) that "let" American forces come into Central Asia, he says. He does the usual tour through the poor Russian conscripts with their low pay and their rag-wrapped feet, but then tells us Russian military procurements increased 25 percent in a year. So how to square this booming military might with this theory of the diminished Russia with its crappy army? Oh, by saying that Russia "lacks a vision".

    (BTW, this 2002 article includes this humorous — in hindsight — paragraph:

    Boris Nemtsov, a reformist leader of the Union of Right Forces, a center-right party, who participated in consultations with Putin on the future of the military, says that the Russian generals deceived the president. "They peddled a scheme that will not be finalized until the year 2004, and not be implemented in full until the year 2010, a year when Putin will no longer be in power," Nemtsov says.)

    MINIMIZING THE RUSSIAN THREAT

    The pro-Kremlin slant takes a sophisticated form and isn't always easy to see and then articulate. In the world of Internet polemics and Twitter parsings, I'm well aware that this position simply will be rejected by EurasiaNet, Registan and all their circles because they are absolutely steeped in it. But I hope by steady explication that eventually it will be clear and others will step up to debate the Soros establishment.

    Counterintuitively, the form that the pro-Russian blogging takes is actually in minimizing the Russian threat, downgrading Russia as a power in the region and the world, and dismissing it as unserious, bumbling, corrupt, inept, etc. It's always about the lumbering bear, now greatly diminished in power. This is a kind of backward argument, looking over the shoulder at imaginary neo-cons or hawks in Washington who exaggerate Russia's power — although in fact, in the Obama era, they're nowhere to be found. Libertarians, conservatives, and progressive alike all downgrade the Russian threat and view Russia as a second-class power that we should be nicer to and sell more to and not criticize for its human rights wrongs.

    But that's a mistake, as Russia is in fact still the opposite superpower to the US, and in fact America's greatest enemy — precisely because the Kremlin has itself designated the US as an enemy and acted accordingly, and because Russia allies with Sudan, Iran, Syria and other conflict-ridden countries. More to the point, it still causes an enormous amount of harm to its own people, especially minorities, and to the near abroad. Most people in the region still have fates largely determined by how cold the wind blows from the Kremlin, as the Czech colleague of Dubcek and one-time room mate of Gorbachev, Zdenek Mlynarz once described it.

    RUSSIAN THREAT TO NATO GETS BURIED, IGNORED

    Today, the chief of the General Staff of the Russian armed forces threatens a strike against NATO if it installs anti-missile defense in Europe — and EurasiaNet's The Bug Pit or any other blog just has nothing to say.Nothing. "Not a story." "It's just bluff," says Peter Sadovnik on Twitter, a Russian expert, who exemplifies this sort of view. Don't take it seriously, or you are merely engaging in Cold War escalation.

    Cananada's cbc.ca ran the threat against NATO as a front-page story. Canada, which has many emigres from Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, and forces in Afghanistan, has an instinctive sense when they see this kind of bluster that it does go on the front page nonetheless.

    The Times buries it in the back section WAY under the fold. You had to be really persistent even to find it.

    So EurasiaNet ignores it, and instead, there's a story about Georgia's preparation for the NATO summit.

    GEORGIA'S ASPIRATIONS TO NATO MOCKED

    I myself don't advocate NATO enlargement because I think it's needless provocation for no demonstrable purpose and we can't back up our mouths on this because we have no intention of really having a firefight with Russia over one of their smaller neighbours.  As NATO has become involved in the Libya and Afghanistan wars, it becomes even more dubious a proposition to expect it to be a stabilizer and not an inciter of instability in the region.

    I suppose the NATO Partnership for Peace and doing things like cleaning up radioactive stuff in Turkmenistan are all good, and maybe there should be more of that. I don't think it makes sense to have an "aspirants' group". Even so, Georgia is entitled to aspire, and some politicians are entitled to encourage them in that and I don't think it means they are "Russophobes" — a label I completely reject, not only for its connotations around the infamous debate with Alexander Solzhenitsyn but for its overbroad application to people who just rightly want to criticize Russia — and who rightly want to protect Georgia from obvious Russian provocations.

    In the end of this piece, as there often is, there's a swipe at Georgia — "But now there is at least a relatively concrete standard by which to judge Georgia's reward, whatever it will be, at the summit."  And that followed the gloating from this blog post taking delight in Georgia not really being on the list for NATO membership after all, according to the State Department. As I said, I don't think NATO expansion is warranted. But what's wrong with making Georgia an ally, working closely with it, and "offering an award for "compromising with the Kremlin on Russia's bid for the World Trade Organization"? I'm not getting this. It did compromise, and it should get something. That's how politics work. And…the State Department may not decide everything about this.

    But it's the snark here — and the nastiness and clear pro-Kremlin posturing — that really bites. Says Kucera in a previous linked piece:

    There are of course still many other problems with Georgia's membership aspirations — mainly that it has shown a proclivity for picking fights with nuclear powers — but it's interesting that Georgia has made that move. We'll see if it gets them anything in Chicago.

    Picking fights?! Good Lord,  Joshua. Are you completely unaware of how Russia provoked and harried and harassed Georgia for years?! Handing out Russian passports provocatively (and unlawfully) to people in Abkhazia and Southern Ossetia, despite constant warnings from the UN and the OSCE about what this would lead to? Most importantly, there's Russia's refusal to accept the UN and OSCE observers, observers they were obliged to take. The EU report on this conflict in fact doesn't blame Georgia alone, as some like to claim, but apportions blame fairly equally.

    It's a little known fact that Georgia came to the UN Security Council when Russia was buzzing airplanes over Georgian territory and provoking days before the Georgian invasion of Southern Ossetia.  Elected UNSC members tried to raise the Georgian case as well and failed. The UNSC refused to put Georgia on the agenda due to Russia's objection (the region is basically off limits due to the Russian veto). The Georgians begged the UN to do something. They refused. Then it was left to the EU and notably France to deal with the crisis after the invasion.

    Georgia likely imagines that if it were a member of NATO, Russia wouldn't dare to pull the kind of shit it has pulled on it, with constant provocations and its faux "peace-keepers". But that is not to be.

    And…Nuclear powers plural. What other nuclear powers has Georgia provoked? Um…the US? Really? How?

    Georgia says it will leave Abkhazia and Southern Ossetia's "independence" issue off the table in terms of joining NATO, but what they should do is try to put more pressure not on NATO to join, but on the EU and OSCE to settle the conflict. But of course, they've done such a good job settling Nagorno-Karabakh, Trans-Dniester and other frozen conflicts that are largely a function of Russian meddling and failing to be the peace-keepers they claim. Even so, the US is right to make non-negotiable the idea that Russia has to accept the observers in Georgia that it pledged to allow in with the last peace agreement, which it never has done.

    KREMLIN'S SOFT POWER?

    So what other story do we see on EurasiaNet on the day that the chief of staff has threatened a strike on NATO (!)?  This one, Can the Kremlin Develop a Warm & Fuzzy Side? by Igor Torbakov is a Senior Fellow at the Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, Uppsala University, Sweden. Of course, this story had to have been conceived and submitted some time ago. But it's a perfect exemplar of my point about the pro-Russian pieces that tilt to the Kremlin precisely by minimizing it and thereby making it seems like it's not really a problem at all and therefore we should never overreact or even react.

    (more…)

  • Atambayev in Moscow: When An Ethnic Russian is Not An Ethnic Russian

    Almazbek Atambayev has stepped into a scandal, EurasiaNet's David Trilling tells us today, at the unveiling in Moscow of a new statute for the epic Kyrgyz hero Manas (for whom the base where the US military is now located is named).

    But Trilling doesn't quite get all the nuances from the original Russian texts (he's just learning Russian).

    The story was troublesome enough, but if regnum.ru reported Atambayev accurately, he didn't say that Manas was "ethnically Russian" in the sense this is conveyed in English, i.e. someone of actual Russian ethnicity. If he said that in Russian, he would have said "etnicheskiy russkiy".

    But that's not what he said. He said "ethically Russian" in the sense of *Russian Federation,* i.e. the country that is on the territory of what is now Russia today. That word is different — Rossiyanin. This is a word that Russians began to use in Russian some time after Russia, too, gained its independence from the Soviet Union and the "Russian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic" became the Russian Federation, and the citizens, who are all different ethnic groups, not only ethnic Russians, became Rossiyane, also translated as "Russians" in English for lack of a more precise term.

    To be sure, "ethnic Russian" in that sense sounds as odd as "ethnic American" would sound. America is made up of people of many different ethnicities.

    Here's what Trilling wrote:

    First, during the unveiling of a statue for Kyrgyz mythic hero Manas in Moscow on February 24, which Atambayev personally helped finance, the president said that Manas, in whatever distant past he inhabited, was “an ethnic Russian” because he and the ancestors of the Kyrgyz both originated in Siberia.

    Here's the original passage on fergananews.com (quoted from regnum.ru):

    «Мы не случайно открываем памятник Манасу Великодушному в столице России, – сказал А.Атамбаев. – Россия, Алтай – это малая родина Манаса, где родился великий Манас и где прошло его детство. Наши далёкие предки долгое время жили на обширной территории Западной Сибири. Народы Киргизии и России связывает общая история. Манас – этнический россиянин!»

    My translation:

    "It is no accident that we are opening this monument to Manas the Great in the capital of Russia," said A. Atambayev. "Russia, Altay, this is the small homeland of Manas, where the great Manas was born and where he spent his childhood. Our remote ancestors lived for a long time on the broad territory of Western Siberia. The peoples of Kyrgyzstan and Russia are connected by a common history. Manas is an ethnic Rossiyanin!"

    As you can learn from Wikipedia and probably better sources, the people from which the great Manas originated were Turkic, i.e. not "ethnic Russian."

    The Epic of Manas (Kyrgyz: Манас дастаны, Turkish: Manas Destanı) is a traditional epic poem claimed by the Kyrgyz people dating to the 18th century, though it is possibly much older. In some earlier versions, however, Manas is identified as Nogay. This opens the possibility of Manas having spoken a dialect of Turki similar to that of the Kazakhs and Nogay people today.

    Then the story underwent changes:

    Changes were made in the delivery and textual representation of Manas in the 1920s and 1930s to represent the creation of the Kyrgyz nationality, particularly the replacement of the tribal background of Manas. In the 19th century versions, Manas is the leader of the Nogay people, while in versions dating after 1920, Manas is a Kyrgyz and a leader of the Kyrgyz.

    Attempts have been made to connect modern Kyrgyz with the Yenisei Kirghiz, today claimed by Kyrgyzstan to be the ancestors of modern Kyrgyz. Kazakh ethnographer and historian Shokan Shinghisuly Walikhanuli was unable to find evidence of folk-memory during his extended research in 19th-century Kyrgyzstan (then part of the expanding Russian empire) nor has any been found since.

    Toktayim Umetalieva, described by Trilling as a "firebrand" uses the term etnicheskiy russkiy here on 24.kg — and perhaps that's what riled her even more? She believes the president's speech-writers should be fired.

    Umetalieva doesn't seem to mind that a statue was put up in Moscow, nor does she seem to be advocating a version of the Manas story that disavows the connection to what is now Russia, but she wants to get it exactly right:

    Атамбаев не имел права в одночасье изменить историю двух народов. Об исторических моментах нужно говорить продуманно, аккуратно. Служба протокола должна объяснить президенту, что такое «этническая принадлежность» и кто такие россияне. Все мы имеем право на ошибку, но только не глава государства. Может быть, народы РФ и КР имеют общие корни, но исторические пути у них разные. Сейчас народ нашей республики пребывает в недоумении, и Алмазбек Атамбаев должен объясниться перед ним.

    My translation:

    Atambayev did not have the right in a moment to change the history of two peoples. You must speak carefully and correctly about historical issues. The [presidential] protocol service should explain to the president what "ethnic affiliation" means and who Rossiyane are. We all are entitled to make mistakes but not the head of state. Perhaps the peoples of the Russian Federation and the Kyrgyz Republic have common roots, but their historical paths are different. Now the people of our republic are confused, and Almazbek Atambayev should explain himself to them.


     

  • Registan_Net Successfully Censors EurasiaNet

    Ruins

    I knew things were bad with EurasiaNet caving to Registan_net — I see Joshua Foust is even going to appear on a radio show with Eurasianet editor Justin Burke to discuss human rights in Uzbekistan (!)– although Foust of course has trashed EurasiaNet writers up and down and forced me to leave, but perhaps those were the sacrifices made that could lead to this "reconciliation" lol.

    And I knew that Faust and Registan put a LOT of pressure on EurasiaNet writers by critiquing their every blog post critical of the Central Asian regimes in detail on Registan, where they can only selectively fight back (they risk being banned like me or deleted on Registan, like those who came to my defense — or worse, they risk being muzzled by management at EurasiaNet as I was).

    But I didn't know that it was this bad, where Foust would take offense at a remark that seemed just too anti-Uzbek regime, would loudly denounce it on Twitter, and soon the offending lines would be removed (!).

    "After a good post, a really obnoxious final paragraph that basically ruins everything for all time," tweeted @joshuafoust yesterday.

    Cut

    Fortunately, we have Registan itself unwittingly revealing all this by the fact that Nathan Hamm, in trouncing and berating a post by EurasiaNet Central Asia editor David Trilling (the Twitter denunciation by Foust wasn't enough!), they quote from the entire paragraph, as follows:

    So what’s with the assault on Valentine’s Day? Yes, it’s nominally a Christian holiday in a predominantly Muslim region, but the elites who call the shots are secular. Could it be that menace of the heart, jealousy, gripping Central Asia’s leaders? Could it be, since governments around the region already maintain a monopoly on people’s voices, they also expect control over their hearts? Without more than empty “national values” on offer, they’re unlikely to succeed.

    Following the link back to EurasiaNet, however, we see the last two lines have simply been deleted. (and replaced with a different point that pokes fun at some local TV station's lack of knowledge of Uzbek culture.)

    The notion expressed in the now-deleted lines is a common cliche in fact for this region. It's believed that Soviet ideology "left a vacuum" and that dictators struggle to fill it with concocted belief systems, whether Ruhnama, Saparmurat Niyazov's cult book in Turkmenistan, or anti-Russian ersatz spiritualized Uzbek nationalism, a la Islam Karimov in Uzbekistan.

    The story is more complicated, however, because the Soviet ideology was already corrupted and crumbling years — decades — ago. Aleksandr Podrabinek had a post on Facebook yesterday about how his samizdat information from the 1960s was already talking about the disintegration and faction-fighting and corruption in the various power ministries including in the KGB. The state ideology shifted — remember how Stalin got everybody to get religion (Russian Orthodoxy) when he needed to fight World War II?

    And the nationalism that the stans devise in response to their broken Soviet past and Russian hegemony isn't always the worst thing. That is, just because they fashion their national idea in rather dysfunctional circumstances doesn't mean they have to be secular worlders that ditch every vestige of sovereignty and tradition in the name of "the consent of the networked".

    Authoritarian governments are really evil and oppressive and intrusive, but do they really mean to get into people's private romantic lives by dissing Valentine's Day? I think that's probably a silly exaggeration, and that the hate is more about the entire anti-Western and anti-individualist doctrines that these regimes purvey. But if you write something on a blog, you should let it stay. It's not like a factual mistake. It's food for discussion, because ultimately you do have to ask whether Karimov means to get inside of people's actual relationships, if they enjoyed buying chocolates and flowers and having Valentine's Day celebrations in a light-hearted manner, without having the entire weight of Emperor Babur now to replace it.

    So there we have it — the Emperor Claudius contrived to pave over pagan practices of their un-Christian activities by installing St. Valentine's Day over the pagan holiday; Karimov tries to undo St. Valentine's Day by invoking Babur, whose birthday was also Feb. 14 — and Registan can tell EurasiaNet what they can say and can't say. Nice!